Heavy rains, flood risk likely as monsoon arriving a month earlier

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ISLAMABAD (Kashmir English): The central and southern parts of the Pakistan are likely to receive 20% more rainfall than usual, while Kashmir and northeastern Punjab may also experience heavier downpours this monsoon season, which could lead to urban flooding and riverine floods.

More than usual rainfall this year poses a potential risk of floods and landslides, the Met office has warned.

The Met Office officials have warned that this year’s pattern suggests possibility of extreme weather events in the coming weeks.

Intensified monsoon season this year

In a high-alert advisory, they warned of an intensified monsoon season this year with above-average rainfall expected across several parts of the country that may lead to floods and landslides.

According to the Director General of the Met Department, the department was maintaining constant coordination with the National Disaster Management Authority (NDMA) and Provincial Disaster Management Authorities (PDMA) to ensure preparedness for possible extreme weather events.

The officials said that monsoon in Pakistan typically arrives in July-August and continues until mid-October. Based on both local and international indicators, they forecast this year’s pattern a month in advance.

As the central and southern parts of the country are likely to receive 20% more rainfall than usual, slightly below-normal rainfall is expected in northern KP and Gilgit-Baltistan, although rising temperatures in these areas could trigger glacial lake outburst floods.

There is a risk of floods and landslides due to increased rainfall and temperature changes, according to the Met Office.

Potential risks aside, these rainfall patterns will help increase water storage in Tarbela and Mangla Dams, and support agricultural productivity across rain-fed zones.

The officials have also warned of dust storms and gusty winds in certain areas, which could temporarily bring down temperatures but may also damage infrastructure and crops.

With floods likely in Kashmir, Sindh, and Punjab, it is crucial for authorities and the public to remain on high alert over the coming weeks.

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